Observations from the Eastside (Eastside Chris)
Reply to: shvotz@yahoo.com
Date: 2008-04-16, 5:26PM CDT
Yes, it seems I’m not on here quite as much as I used to be. Life is getting hectic, the baby will soon be on its way (June 16) so we’re looking for new places to live and so forth.
But I have made a few observations about the national races...
1) Barack Obama elitist? Hardly. His “bitter” comment may have been a mistake, but it’s not going to hurt him much. If anything, the continual Clinton message that Obama is elite is hurting her chances (making her look like a negative campaigner). Clinton should have left it to McCain and FOX News, other conservatives, to attack Obama. When she does it, it looks like she’s trying to hurt the party, not unite it.
In any case, Obama has rebounded in the polls – he’s taking names in Indiana, North Carolina, and Oregon, and making gains in Pennsylvania (latest polls show him within 3-5 percentage points of Clinton, who needs to get some blowout wins if she expects to get the superdelegates behind her).
2) The Boss’s endorsement? Believe it or not, this is a positive thing for Obama. You’d be surprised how many down-to-earth rural Democrats/moderates like his music. He sings to the working class, to the people Obama has characterized as “bitter.” So yeah, it’s a good thing for him. Now, is it a HUGE deal? Of course not. But it doesn’t hurt.
3) It’s going to be Obama vs. McCain – you can count on it. Now, between those two, who is going to win? Looking at electoral-vote.com, it says that Obama would lose to McCain in the Electoral College. Of course, this is somewhat skewed; it has Obama losing to McCain in New York, probably due to Hillary being the main attraction out there until she drops out. Once she’s officially done, Obama will be sure to take NY. Elsewhere, Obama is making gains in some traditionally Republican states, such as New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada, Iowa, North Dakota, and North Carolina. If Obama can take some of these states – and assuming he takes New York, like I’ve predicted – the election is his to lose.
- Location: Eastside Chris
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